{"id":1579,"date":"2026-02-13T12:00:22","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T09:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/13\/merkez-bankasi-acikladi-piyasanin-enflasyon-beklentisi-yukseldi-dolar-tahmini-dustu\/"},"modified":"2026-02-13T12:00:23","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T09:00:23","slug":"merkez-bankasi-acikladi-piyasanin-enflasyon-beklentisi-yukseldi-dolar-tahmini-dustu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/13\/merkez-bankasi-acikladi-piyasanin-enflasyon-beklentisi-yukseldi-dolar-tahmini-dustu\/","title":{"rendered":"Merkez Bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: Piyasan\u0131n enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fckseldi, dolar tahmini d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan \u015eubat ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi, ekonomiye dair g\u00fcncel \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi. Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, enflasyon beklentilerinde kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller verirken, d\u00f6viz kuru ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini de detayland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi, bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 23,23 iken, bu d\u00f6nemde y\u00fckseli\u015f kaydederek y\u00fczde 24,11 seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu durum, yak\u0131n vadeli enflasyonist bask\u0131lara y\u00f6nelik alg\u0131n\u0131n bir miktar artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemindeki y\u00fczde 22,20 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 22,10’a hafif\u00e7e geriledi. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, orta vadede enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir iyile\u015fme potansiyeline i\u015faret edebilir.<\/p>\n

Daha uzun vadeye bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 16,94’ten y\u00fczde 17,11’e y\u00fckseldi. Bu, uzun d\u00f6nemli enflasyon beklentilerinde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir revizyonun ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

D\u00d6V\u0130Z KURU BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130NDE KARI\u015eIK SEY\u0130R<\/h2>\n

Y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (Dolar\/TL) beklentisi, bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 51,17 TL iken, bu d\u00f6nemde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 51,09 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu rakam, k\u0131sa vadede Dolar\/TL kurunda stabilite beklentisinin devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak, 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemindeki 51,89 TL seviyesinden 52,39 TL’ye y\u00fckseldi. Bu art\u0131\u015f, orta vadede Dolar\/TL kurunda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareket potansiyeline y\u00f6nelik piyasa beklentisini yans\u0131t\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Gayrisafi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri ise 2026 ve 2027 y\u0131llar\u0131 i\u00e7in sabit kald\u0131. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6nceki ankette oldu\u011fu gibi 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,9 ve 2027 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,3’l\u00fck bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc korudu. Bu istikrar, ekonominin uzun vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fcme potansiyeline ili\u015fkin sa\u011flam bir beklentiye i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan \u015eubat ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi, ekonomiye dair g\u00fcncel \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi. Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, enflasyon beklentilerinde kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller verirken, d\u00f6viz kuru ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini de detayland\u0131rd\u0131. Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi, bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 23,23 iken, bu d\u00f6nemde y\u00fckseli\u015f kaydederek y\u00fczde 24,11 seviyesine […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1580,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1579","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1579"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1579\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1583,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1579\/revisions\/1583"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1580"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1579"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1579"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1579"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}