13 Haziran 2025’te \u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a d\u00fczenledi\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fck hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla fitili ate\u015flenen ve “On \u0130ki G\u00fcn Sava\u015f\u0131” olarak an\u0131lan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar, k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131nda derin sars\u0131nt\u0131lar yaratmaya devam ediyor. \u00d6zellikle \u0130ran’\u0131n stratejik H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 kapatma karar\u0131, d\u00fcnya genelinde enerji tedarik zincirlerini fel\u00e7 ederken, akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 rekor seviyelere ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n
Sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki istikrars\u0131z y\u00fckseli\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye’de de akaryak\u0131t pompa fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyerek tarihi zirvelere ula\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum, d\u00f6viz kuru hareketlili\u011fi ve k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki dalgalanmalar\u0131n birle\u015fimiyle tetiklendi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye, y\u00fckselen enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir ad\u0131m atarak motorinden al\u0131nan \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim vergisinde (\u00d6TV) kademeli bir uygulamaya ge\u00e7ti ve bu yak\u0131t\u0131 e\u015fel mobil sistemi d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yeni d\u00fczenlemeye g\u00f6re, a\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131n kalan k\u0131sm\u0131nda motorin \u00fczerindeki \u00d6TV tutar\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r olarak uygulanacak. Ancak sonraki aylarda, y\u0131l sonuna kadar her ay 3’er lira art\u0131r\u0131larak belirlenecek. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 3 lira, ekim ay\u0131nda 6 lira, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 9 lira ve aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda 12 lira \u00d6TV al\u0131nacak.<\/p>\n
Belirlenen \u00d6TV tutar\u0131, 1 Ocak 2027 tarihinden itibaren ise 13,9006 lira olarak sabitlenecek ve e\u015fel mobil uygulamas\u0131 \u00f6ncesindeki seviyeye geri d\u00f6necek.<\/p>\n
Enerji Piyasas\u0131 D\u00fczenleme Kurumu (EPDK) verilerine ve g\u00fcncel pompa fiyatlar\u0131na g\u00f6re, bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla T\u00fcrkiye genelinde bir litre benzinin fiyat\u0131 71 ila 74 TL aras\u0131nda seyrederken, bir litre motorinin fiyat\u0131 79 TL ile 83 TL aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Oysa Haziran 2025’teki “12 G\u00fcn Sava\u015f\u0131” \u00f6ncesinde benzin motorinden daha pahal\u0131yd\u0131. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte motorin fiyatlar\u0131 \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi ve fiyat makas\u0131 motorin lehine tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Peki, s\u00fcre\u00e7 \u00f6ncesinde farkl\u0131 bir seyir izleyen akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131nda, motorin neden benzine g\u00f6re \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steriyor ve bu durum m\u00fcdahaleyi neden zorunlu k\u0131l\u0131yor?<\/p>\n
Hayat\u0131n\u0131zda hi\u00e7 dizel yak\u0131t sat\u0131n almamam\u0131\u015f olsan\u0131z bile, bu durum k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in ciddi bir endi\u015fe kayna\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Zira d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131, t\u00fcketti\u011fimiz mallardan yedi\u011fimiz yiyeceklere kadar, dizel yak\u0131t\u0131n sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 lojistik destek sayesinde size ula\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Asl\u0131nda \u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131’ndan \u00f6nce bile k\u00fcresel dizel yak\u0131t (motorin) arz\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k durumdayd\u0131. Bu nedenle, \u00f6nemli miktarda dizel yak\u0131t \u00fcreten Basra K\u00f6rfezi \u00fclkeleri ihracatlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak zorunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel piyasan\u0131n bu kayb\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layabilecek kapasitesi olduk\u00e7a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Sorunu daha da derinle\u015ftiren bir ba\u015fka unsur ise b\u00f6lgede \u00fcretilen petrol\u00fcn, \u00f6zellikle dizel ve jet yak\u0131t\u0131 \u00fcretimine son derece elveri\u015fli olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca, benzinin aksine dizel yak\u0131t sadece otomobillerde de\u011fil; toplu ta\u015f\u0131ma ara\u00e7lar\u0131, a\u011f\u0131r y\u00fck kamyonlar\u0131, tar\u0131m ve i\u015f makineleri, tekneler ve jenerat\u00f6rler gibi \u00e7ok geni\u015f bir alanda hayati \u00f6neme sahiptir.<\/p>\n
Dizel yak\u0131t\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131ktan tar\u0131ma ve sanayiye kadar ekonomik faaliyetlerin bir\u00e7ok alan\u0131nda stratejik bir rol oynamas\u0131, talebinin benzine k\u0131yasla daha az esnek olmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Bu nedenle, arz\u0131n darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde dizel fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, benzine g\u00f6re \u00e7ok daha sert bir \u015fekilde hissediliyor.<\/p>\n
Rabobank K\u00fcresel Enerji Stratejisti Joe DeLaura, nisan ay\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, “Dizel fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n iki kattan fazla artarken, benzinin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ham petrolle paralel hareket etmesinin temel nedeni budur. Dizelde arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 var, jet yak\u0131t\u0131nda arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 var, fuel oilde arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 var. Benzin arz\u0131 ise g\u00f6rece daha yeterli durumda” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n
Sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde Basra K\u00f6rfezi’ndeki rafineriler, benzine k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha fazla dizel ve jet yak\u0131t\u0131 ihra\u00e7 ediyordu. \u00dcstelik, b\u00f6lgeden kaybedilen bu arz\u0131 telafi edebilecek yeterli rafineri kapasitesi di\u011fer \u00fclkelerde bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 TD Cowen’\u0131n enerji analisti Jason Gabelman da bu durumu, “Zaten s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k olan bir piyasada bu arz\u0131 kaybettiniz ve bunun yerini doldurman\u0131n bir yolu yok” s\u00f6zleriyle \u00f6zetledi.<\/p>\n
Gabelman’a g\u00f6re, normal \u015fartlarda kayb\u0131n bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131layabilecek rafineri kapasitesine sahip olan \u00c7in de sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte i\u00e7 piyasada yak\u0131t s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek amac\u0131yla akaryak\u0131t ihracat\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlama karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Bu durum, k\u00fcresel dizel arz\u0131ndaki daralmay\u0131 daha da art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD, dizel yak\u0131t da dahil olmak \u00fczere petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin net ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 konumundad\u0131r. Eskiden Asya veya Avrupa’dan dizel yak\u0131t ithal eden Avustralya gibi \u00fclkeler, ABD’den yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. Ancak, sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyon varillik petrol ve petrol \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na ev sahipli\u011fi yapan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’ndaki trafi\u011fin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kesilmesiyle, ABD dahi Basra K\u00f6rfezi’nden kaybedilen dizel yak\u0131t arz\u0131n\u0131 tamamen telafi edemedi. Uzmanlara g\u00f6re, ABD’nin y\u00fcksek \u00fcretim kapasitesine ra\u011fmen, k\u00fcresel talebi kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Enerji piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n uzmanlar\u0131, e\u011fer H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 tamamen a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r ve deniz trafi\u011fi normale d\u00f6nerse, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n kademeli olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7ece\u011fini ve zamanla enerji k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da ortadan kalkaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
Ancak, dizel yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131, tedarik zincirindeki b\u00fcy\u00fck aksamalar nedeniyle sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelere h\u0131zla d\u00f6nmeyebilir. Yak\u0131t\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7 duyulan her yere ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yeniden kurulmas\u0131 aylar s\u00fcrebilir.<\/p>\n
Analistler, \u0130ran-\u0130srail Sava\u015f\u0131 sona erip H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’ndaki ak\u0131\u015f kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde normale d\u00f6nmedik\u00e7e dizel fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seyrini korumaya devam edebilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n
* Haberin g\u00f6rseli Shutterstock’tan servis edilmi\u015ftir. G\u00f6rsel temsilidir. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
13 Haziran 2025’te \u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a d\u00fczenledi\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fck hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla fitili ate\u015flenen ve “On \u0130ki G\u00fcn Sava\u015f\u0131” olarak an\u0131lan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar, k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131nda derin sars\u0131nt\u0131lar yaratmaya devam ediyor. \u00d6zellikle \u0130ran’\u0131n stratejik H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 kapatma karar\u0131, d\u00fcnya genelinde enerji tedarik zincirlerini fel\u00e7 ederken, akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 rekor seviyelere ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki istikrars\u0131z y\u00fckseli\u015f, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":5629,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5628","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5628","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5628"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5628\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5630,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5628\/revisions\/5630"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5629"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5628"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5628"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sunpress4.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5628"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}